#Official Commentary of Evgeny Orlov on nuances of Russian-Turkish relations
Recently, the media widely exaggerate the theme of Russian-Turkish relations. Even curious photo at the G20 Summit in China, where Obama is ‘jealously’ looking towards actively communicating Putin and Erdogan says that the leaders of the two countries have quite similar interests.
The rate, which was set by Erdogan prior to events with the brought-down Russian fighter aircraft, hoping that the USA will support him in policy of pan-Turkism and in the strategy for expansion chosen by him in Syria, failed. Not only that Washington failed to support Erdogan, but clearly neglected his interests by lobbying their own. As a proof that Washington can easily refuse to support of certain forces an example of the Syrian opposition, which has become a bargaining chip in the Geneva intersyrian negotiations can be given. By the way, the same can happen to the Kurds, to the Kiev regime or indeed to anyone, as in the saying “cake is not worth the candle.” When it comes to money and influence, such issues like principle or morality are irrelevant for the United States.
Erdogan realized that America wants to ‘rule’ independently in the Middle East, and they will step over anyone to carry out their plans. If the question was only about Syria and Iran, perhaps Erdogan would go on playing by the US rules, but the States began openly support the Kurds, Turks’ sworn enemies. Incidentally, the Syrian Kurds have already chosen their capital and even plan to adopt a Constitution. They certainly wouldn’t leave their brethren at the mercy in Turkey, which is why Erdogan became one of the organisers of the operation “Euphrates Shield” directed against “terrorist groups of Syrian Kurds, threatening Turkey.” Well, the apogee of all is the attempted coup in the country.
Russia quietly intervened in the situation by placing a barrier in the overthrow of the legitimate government in Turkey. Erdogan, being mad at his American ‘friends’, decided to show the public peacefulness with respect to Russia and, thus, ‘annoy’ Washington. But we should not forget the 300-year history of the Russian-Turkish relations and give this ‘reversal’ a crucial meaning. It is clear that there cannot be any long-term alliance between Moscow and Ankara, and that by such maneuvers Erdogan is trying to get as much as possible of dividends while showing the US that Turkey does not allow treating the country as the one likes. Today, Turkey is going through hard times, so they are looking for the most favourable options to cooperation. In turn, the international coalition for the fight against “Islamic state” created by the United States in September 2014, too, is in deep crisis and controls the processes occurring in the Middle East weakly.
As for Russia, then angry and miffed at the US Erdogan looks much more favorable against the pro-American background and uncontrollable military in the Syrian war. And Putin’s intentions to at least informally designate the interest of Turkey’s exit from NATO is another new chance to show America what Russia has great potential negotiability with key countries in the region, regardless of the will of the United States. In case of withdrawal of Turkey from NATO, its southern flank will greatly weaken, and therefore the position of the entire military-political bloc.
Therefore, Obama is nervous, looking forward to the new alliance of Turkey, Russia and Iran, knowing that it would mean the complete collapse of the American policy. And that’s why Obama made the offer to Erdogan to participate in the liberation of Raqqa, about which, it is not excluded, Putin knows.
Eugene Orlov, the DPR People’s Council deputy