Round table reflects on results of Minsk process for 2016 and discusses prospects for 2017 in TASS
On December 26, a round table, dedicated to results of the Minsk process in 2016 and prospects for 2017, was held in TASS.
The event was attended by plenipotentiary representatives of the DPR and the LPR in the Trilateral contact group on resolving the situation in the East of Ukraine Denis Pushilin and Vladislav Deynego, Head of the Center for Current Politics Alexey Chesnakov, senior staff scientist of the Center of Caucasus’s problems and regional security of MSIIR Nikolay Silaev, the political scientists Denis Denisov and Oleg Ignatov.
The participants discussed the results of the last meeting of the Contact group in Minsk, a state of affairs in humanitarian sphere and security sector, the political situation in Ukraine and a possible position of the new US administration on Kiev during the meeting.
According to permanent plenipotentiary representative of the DPR in the Contact group at negotiations in Minsk Denis Pushilin, the Ukrainian side’s position in negotiations has remained unchanged in 2016 – the representatives of Ukraine deliberately delayed the negotiation process.
“In my opinion, the main achievement of the Minsk process in 2016 is that it was not derailed, despite the Ukrainian side’s intentions. Regarding the implementation of clauses, alas, not a single one has been implemented and there has been no progress in that regard. The subgroup has not been in session since September. In fact, the subgroup on political issues is blocked due to the lack of position of the Ukrainian side. The situation of the economic subgroup vividly describes the consistent position of the Ukrainian side. Contrary to their assurances, the Ukrainian representatives are displacing Donbass and are not thinking about the fact that Donbass should be integrated into Ukraine. The economic blockade has only increased,” Denis Pushilin said.
Head of the Center for Current Politics Alexey Chesnakov presented the results of the negotiation processon five main directions to the participants of the round table.
“I would like to identify five basic points of the negotiation process for 2016.
Results. We can say that the peace-making process is very pessimistic, but it does not mean that life does not go on. Most likely, we will not be discussing a peaceful settlement, but the Donbass’ incorporation into another political entity. And Ukraine itself has not taken any steps towards stimulation of the Minsk process.
Prospects for 2017. It is high time to start talking about the process’s prospects for 2017-2019. Most likely scenario is a long-term ‘freezing’ of the conflict, for which we have been ready since the very beginning. We understand that excesses cannot be avoided until a political settlement is achieved.
Process as a whole. As for this point, I can say that Russia will never agree to the peaceful settlement the way Ukraine wants. Also, Russia will never agree to the fact that Donbass becomes a part of Ukraine again, since any amendments to legislation have not been adopted, but in case of Donbass’ returning to Ukraine, genocide of the Republics’ population will be committed.
Elections. Obviously, Poroshenko is afraid of local elections and he will postpone them until the very last minute due to the fact that neither he nor their political forces will win them.
Ambient background. Ukraine remains to be a failed and politically unstable state. This is because internal processes are constantly changing in Ukraine,” Alexey Chesnakov.